Sweet 16 #4 Butler vs. #1 North Carolina Predictions – Game Preview, Picks, Betting Odds

Team Spread Total To Win SU public %
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Butler +7 153 +274
North Carolina -7 153 -340

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The North Carolina Tar Heels opened a 7 point favorite over the Butler Bulldogs, right after the matchups were set, for their Sweet 16 showdown on Friday night March 24th,
but the ACC hasn’t had a great run this postseason, so we’ll have to see how the money comes in for this one..
We figured there was a decent chance at getting two Big East teams in the Sweet 16. The Butler Bulldogs would have been a popular pick alongside the Villanova Wildcats, but the Xavier Musketeers are the other team.
the North Carolina Tar Heels, are the #1 seed in the South Region, while Butler is seeded 4th.

The Butler Bulldogs are basically a fixture in the NCAA Tournament at this point. Butler missed in 2012 and 2014,
but made the national championship game in 2010 and 2011 and now makes its fifth Sweet 16 appearance in the last 15 years
The Bulldogs will enter play for this one with a 25-8 straight up record and a 19-12 mark against the spread.
Butler was bounced in the first round of the Big East Conference Tournament and that may have been a good thing because the team got a chance to catch their breath.
They’ve had minimal trouble against Winthrop and Middle Tennessee State, but UNC will be the first single-digit seed for the Bulldogs in the tournament..

It certainly appeared like North Carolina Tar Heels were going to run away and hide in the second round against Arkansas.
Many have scrutinized the officiating late in the game that seemed to benefit North Carolina and it’s hard to prove that it wasn’t the case given some of the sequences.
The Tar Heels survived and advanced, which is basically the theme of March Madness this year for the top seeds, that haven’t been knocked off.
The Tar Heels are 28-7 straight up with an 18-15 mark against the number. North Carolina has a few days to laugh about its chief rival getting bounced and also about how it is the last ACC team left standing..

Picks & Predictions

The Tar Heels have some big edges in this game. For one thing, they will be the most athletic team that Butler has faced this season.
The Bulldogs are not a good rebounding team at all and North Carolina is probably the best offensive rebounding team in the country.
As much as we look at North Carolina as an offense-only team, they are up to 19th in Ken Pomeroy’s adjusted defensive efficiency metric.
Roy Williams is a great recruiter and hasn’t been the best in-game coach, so Chris Holtmann could have an edge there, but North Carolina simply has too much talent and athleticism for Butler.
While there are a lot of sound, structured teams in the Big East, you won’t find any with North Carolina’s athletic prowess. It’ll be tough for Butler to defend that. Our P& P will be for North Carolina Tar Heels, even at the -7

The Full Story: https://www.bangthebook.com/south-region-sweet-16-4-butler-vs-1-north-carolina-prediction/

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